Pre-tourney Rankings
Detroit Mercy
Horizon
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.3#69
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#99
Pace77.2#21
Improvement+0.0#167

Offense
Total Offense+8.2#19
Improvement+1.0#117

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#191
Improvement-1.0#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2012 97   @ St. John's L 74-77 47%     0 - 1 +5.0 +1.8 +3.5
  Nov 17, 2012 118   Drake W 85-79 76%     1 - 1 +6.0 -3.2 +8.3
  Nov 24, 2012 12   @ Miami (FL) L 62-77 15%     1 - 2 +3.5 +0.7 +2.2
  Nov 27, 2012 210   @ Bowling Green L 65-70 73%     1 - 3 -4.2 +0.0 -4.6
  Dec 01, 2012 8   @ Pittsburgh L 61-74 13%     1 - 4 +6.7 +4.5 +0.6
  Dec 05, 2012 186   Toledo W 79-73 86%     2 - 4 +1.8 -2.4 +3.8
  Dec 10, 2012 333   Alabama St. W 81-68 98%     3 - 4 -4.1 -4.7 -0.2
  Dec 15, 2012 56   Akron W 80-73 57%     4 - 4 +12.5 +7.0 +5.1
  Dec 17, 2012 11   @ Syracuse L 68-72 15%     4 - 5 +14.5 +8.2 +6.1
  Dec 19, 2012 330   @ Alcorn St. W 74-58 93%     5 - 5 +6.6 +9.8 -1.4
  Dec 30, 2012 120   Canisius W 83-78 76%     6 - 5 +4.9 +0.1 +4.5
  Jan 03, 2013 292   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-59 95%     7 - 5 1 - 0 +3.4 -2.3 +6.0
  Jan 05, 2013 126   Green Bay W 84-76 77%     8 - 5 2 - 0 +7.4 +5.7 +1.2
  Jan 10, 2013 203   @ Youngstown St. W 101-60 72%     9 - 5 3 - 0 +42.3 +16.1 +21.2
  Jan 12, 2013 260   @ Cleveland St. L 62-74 82%     9 - 6 3 - 1 -14.5 -14.6 +0.4
  Jan 17, 2013 66   Valparaiso L 88-89 62%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +3.3 +9.1 -5.8
  Jan 19, 2013 193   Illinois-Chicago W 98-47 86%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +46.4 +22.8 +22.2
  Jan 21, 2013 129   Wright St. L 62-64 78%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -2.8 +0.0 -3.0
  Jan 26, 2013 171   @ Loyola Chicago W 75-63 66%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +15.0 +3.1 +11.8
  Jan 30, 2013 129   @ Wright St. W 83-76 56%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +12.7 +11.9 +0.3
  Feb 01, 2013 203   Youngstown St. W 88-77 88%     13 - 8 7 - 3 +5.8 +2.9 +1.8
  Feb 07, 2013 292   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-74 87%     14 - 8 8 - 3 +2.8 +9.0 -6.0
  Feb 09, 2013 126   @ Green Bay L 59-68 55%     14 - 9 8 - 4 -3.1 -8.3 +4.9
  Feb 12, 2013 260   Cleveland St. W 92-62 93%     15 - 9 9 - 4 +21.0 +18.3 +4.1
  Feb 16, 2013 66   @ Valparaiso W 84-74 37%     16 - 9 10 - 4 +20.7 +13.2 +7.5
  Feb 23, 2013 34   @ Wichita St. L 79-94 23%     16 - 10 -0.1 +10.0 -9.2
  Feb 26, 2013 171   Loyola Chicago W 76-75 84%     17 - 10 11 - 4 -2.5 +2.2 -4.6
  Feb 28, 2013 58   @ Temple L 78-83 34%     17 - 11 +6.6 +9.4 -2.8
  Mar 02, 2013 193   @ Illinois-Chicago W 79-67 70%     18 - 11 12 - 4 +13.9 +6.1 +7.2
  Mar 09, 2013 129   Wright St. L 54-56 68%     18 - 12 +0.5 -2.7 +2.8
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 12.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%